¡®Credible threat¡¯: US could assassinate Putin if he uses nuclear weapons, says Bolton"½Å·ÚÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â À§Çù": ¹Ì±¹Àº ǪƾÀÌ ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ »ç¿ëÇÑ´Ù¸é ǪƾÀ» ¾Ï»ìÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í º¼Æ°Àº ¸»ÇÑ´Ù.Joe Biden recently warned of the threat of "Armageddon" - but one prominent US foreign policy expert believes the West is too easily cowed by the Russian President.Á¶ ¹ÙÀ̵çÀº ÃÖ±Ù "¾Æ¸¶°Ùµ·"ÀÇ À§Çù¿¡ ´ëÇØ °æ°íÇßÁö¸¸, ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ÇÑ Àú¸íÇÑ ¿Ü±³Á¤Ã¥ Àü¹®°¡´Â ¼¹æÀÌ ·¯½Ã¾Æ ´ëÅë·É¿¡°Ô ³Ê¹« ½±°Ô °ÌÀ» ¸Ô°í ÀÖ´Ù.[express] 2022³â 10¿ù 18ÀÏ È¿äÀÏ 20:06
Vladimir Putin needs to be aware that any use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine would put his own life at risk, former US National Security Advisor John Bolton has told Express.co.uk. But the ex-Ambassador to the United Nations also suggested there was nothing to indicate the Russian President was currently planning to act on his repeated threats - while suggesting they had ¡°intimidated¡± US President Joe Biden and other Western leaders.Á¸ º¼Æ° Àü ¹Ì±¹ ±¹°¡¾Èº¸º¸Á°üÀº "ǪƾÀº ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª¿¡¼ ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ »ç¿ëÇϸé ÀÚ½ÅÀÇ ¸ñ¼ûÀÌ À§Å·οöÁø´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» ¾Ë¾Æ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù"°í Çß´Ù. ±×·¯³ª Àü À¯¿£ ´ë»ç´Â ¶ÇÇÑ ·¯½Ã¾Æ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ Á¶ ¹ÙÀÌµç ¹Ì±¹ ´ëÅë·É°ú ´Ù¸¥ ¼¹æ ÁöµµÀÚµéÀ» "Çù¹ÚÇß´Ù"¸é¼ ·¯½Ã¾Æ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ ÇöÀç ¹Ýº¹µÇ´Â À§Çù¿¡µµ Çൿ ÇÒ °èȹÀº ¾Æ¹«°Íµµ ¾ø´Ù°í Çß´Ù.Mr Bolton - who served as an adviser to former US President Donald Trump - has mentioned the idea in passing before - but, speaking via video link from his office in Washington, he offered a more detailed explanation.Æ®·³ÇÁ Àü ¹Ì±¹ ´ëÅë·É º¸Á°üÀ» Áö³½ º¼ÅÏÀº ÀÌÀü¿¡µµ ÀÌ ¾ÆÀ̵ð¾î¸¦ Åë°ú½ÃŲ ÀûÀÌ ÀÖ´Ù. ÇÏÁö¸¸ ¿ö½ÌÅÏ »ç¹«½Ç¿¡¼ ¿µ»ó ¸µÅ©¸¦ ÅëÇØ ´õ ÀÚ¼¼ÇÑ ¼³¸íÀ» Çß´Ù.He said: ¡°I don't think it would be unprecedented. This is another question in deterrence.±×´Â ¡°Àü·Ê°¡ ¾øÀ» °ÍÀ̶ó°í »ý°¢ÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù. ÀÌ°ÍÀº ¾ïÁ¦¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¶Ç ´Ù¸¥ Áú¹®ÀÌ´Ù.¡°You can deter in part by telling a potential adversary what the consequences would be if they take a certain action.ÀáÀçÀûÀÎ Àû¿¡°Ô ¾î¶² ÇൿÀ» ÃëÇÏ¸é ¾î¶² °á°ú°¡ ÃÊ·¡µÉÁö ¸»ÇØÁÜÀ¸·Î½á ºÎºÐÀûÀ¸·Î ¾ïÁ¦ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù.¡°The aim is to say, if you do X the cost that you will incur, thereby will be substantially greater than whatever benefit you think you're going to get by doing X.¡°¸ñÇ¥´Â X¸¦ ¼öÇàÇÏ¸é ¹ß»ýÇÏ´Â ºñ¿ëÀÌ X¸¦ ¼öÇàÇÔÀ¸·Î½á ¾òÀ» ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í »ý°¢ÇÏ´Â ÀÌÀͺ¸´Ù ÈξÀ ´õ Ŭ °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¸»ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÔ´Ï´Ù.¡°And therefore, the rational actor on the other side says, Okay, I'm not going to do X.±×·¯¹Ç·Î ¹Ý´ëÆí¿¡ ÀÖ´Â À̼ºÀûÀÎ ÇàÀ§ÀÚ´Â ÀÌ·¸°Ô ¸»ÇÕ´Ï´Ù. "ÁÁ¾Æ, ³ª´Â X¸¦ ÇÏÁö ¾ÊÀ» °Å¾ß."¡°A lot of a lot of things have been suggested about what a NATO response to the use of a nuclear weapon would be - destroying Russian forces in Ukraine, destroying the Black Sea Fleet, things like that.¡°ÇÙ¹«±â »ç¿ë¿¡ ´ëÇÑ NATOÀÇ ´ëÀÀÀÌ ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª¿¡¼ ·¯½Ã¾Æ±ºÀ» Æı«Çϰųª ÈæÇØ ÇԴ븦 Æı«ÇÏ´Â °Í°ú °°Àº °Í¿¡ ´ëÇÑ °ÍµéÀÌ´Ù.¡°I don't have any problem with those as steps to take - the Russians invaded Ukraine unprovoked, they're going to have to take their chances.·¯½Ã¾Æ°¡ ÀÌÀ¯ ¾øÀÌ ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª¸¦ ħ°øÇßÀ¸´Ï À§ÇèÀ» °¨¼öÇØ¾ß ÇÒ °Ì´Ï´Ù.¡°But from a deterrence point of view you have to ask what is the real a credible threat that would stop the Russians from dropping a nuclear weapon, even a tactical nuclear weapon, to begin with?±×·¯³ª ¾ïÁö·ÂÀÇ °üÁ¡¿¡¼ ´ç½ÅÀº ·¯½Ã¾Æ°¡ ÇÙ¹«±â, ½ÉÁö¾î Àü¼ú ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ ¶³¾î ¶ß¸®´Â °ÍÀ» ¸·À» ¼öÀÖ´Â ÁøÁ¤ÇÑ À§ÇùÀÌ ¹«¾ùÀÎÁö ¹°¾îºÁ¾ßÇÕ´Ï´Ù.¡°And I think further you want to, to the extent you can, hold responsible, the people who make the decisions and the people who are responsible.±×¸®°í ³ª´Â ´ç½ÅÀÌ Ã¥ÀÓÀ» Áú ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ¹üÀ§ ³»¿¡¼ °áÁ¤À» ³»¸®´Â »ç¶÷µé°ú Ã¥ÀÓÀ»Áö´Â »ç¶÷µéÀ» ´õ ¿øÇÑ´Ù°í »ý°¢ÇÕ´Ï´Ù.¡°Russian extra troops on the ground in Ukraine are not responsible for making a decision to use nuclear weapons.¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª¿¡ ÀÖ´Â ·¯½Ã¾Æ Ãß°¡ º´·ÂÀº ÇÙ¹«±â »ç¿ë °áÁ¤¿¡ Ã¥ÀÓÀÌ ¾ø´Ù.¡°So if you're going to levy responsibility, levy it on the people who make the decision, and that's Vladimir Putin.¡°µû¶ó¼ Ã¥ÀÓÀ» Á®¾ß ÇÑ´Ù¸é °áÁ¤À» ³»¸®´Â »ç¶÷µé¿¡°Ô Ã¥ÀÓÀ» ¹°À¸½Ê½Ã¿À. ±×°ÍÀÌ ¹Ù·Î ºí¶óµð¹Ì¸£ ǪƾÀÔ´Ï´Ù.Assessing how seriously the West needed to take suggestions by Putin that he could use nuclear weapons, Mr Bolton said: ¡°I think he's been trying to intimidate the West ever since the Russians invaded on February 24 and I think he's had some success.º¼ÅÏÀº ǪƾÀÌ ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ »ç¿ëÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù´Â Á¦¾ÈÀ» ¼¹æÀÌ ¾ó¸¶³ª ½É°¢ÇÏ°Ô ¹Þ¾ÆµéÀÏ ÇÊ¿ä°¡ ÀÖ´ÂÁö Æò°¡ÇÏ¸é¼ "±×´Â 2¿ù 24ÀÏ ·¯½Ã¾ÆÀÇ Ä§°ø ÀÌÈÄ ¼¹æÀ» À§ÇùÇÏ·Á°í ÇßÀ¸¸ç ±×°¡ ¾î´À Á¤µµ ¼º°øÇß´Ù°í »ý°¢ÇÑ´Ù"°í Çß´Ù.¡°If you go back near the beginning, when the Poles said, why don't we send these Russian MiGs we have to the Ukrainians, Tony Blinken, the Secretary of State said, ¡®Yes, we're going to do that¡¯ and Joe Biden, the President said, ¡®No, we're not because it's going to upset the Russians¡¯.Åä´Ï ºí¸µÄÁ ±¹¹«Àå°üÀº "óÀ½ºÎÅÍ Æú¶õµå°¡ ·¯½Ã¾Æ ¹Ì±×±â¸¦ ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª¿¡ º¸³»¸é ¾î¶³±î"¶ó°í ¸»Çß°í, Á¶ ¹ÙÀÌµç ´ëÅë·ÉÀº "¾Æ´Ï, ·¯½Ã¾ÆÀεéÀ» ȳª°Ô ÇÒ °ÍÀ̱⠶§¹®ÀÌ ¾Æ´Ï´Ù"¶ó°í Çß´Ù.
¡°We¡¯ve heard repeatedly concerns about the supply of increasingly sophisticated weapons systems to Ukraine, because of a fear of World War 3, which is an exaggerated threat.¿ì¸®´Â Á¦3Â÷ ¼¼°è´ëÀü¿¡ ´ëÇÑ µÎ·Á¿ò ¶§¹®¿¡ Á¡Á¡ ´õ Á¤±³ÇØÁö´Â ¹«±âü°è°¡ ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª¿¡ °ø±ÞµÇ´Â °Í¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¿ì·Á¸¦ ¹Ýº¹ µé¾ú´Ù.¡°Biden just did it again a week or so ago, when he said the use of a nuclear weapon would lead us directly to Armageddon.¹ÙÀ̵çÀº ºÒ°ú ÀÏÁÖÀÏ Àü¿¡ ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ »ç¿ëÇÏ¸é ¾Æ¸¶°Ùµ·À¸·Î ¹Ù·Î °¥ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í Çß´Ù.Despite Putin¡¯s original announcement, shortly after launching his invasion, that he was increasing the alert status of his nuclear forces, there was no evidence of him taking any ¡°operational steps to implement a nuclear threat¡±, Mr Bolton stressed.ǪƾÀº ħ°øÀ» °³½ÃÇÑ Á÷ÈÄ ÇÙ±ºÀÇ °æ°èż¼¸¦ °ÈÇÑ´Ù´Â ´çÃÊ ¹ßÇ¥¿¡µµ ºÒ±¸ÇÏ°í 'ÇÙ À§ÇùÀ» ½ÇÇàÇϱâ À§ÇÑ ÀÛÀüÀû Á¶Ä¡'¸¦ ÃëÇß´Ù´Â Áõ°Å´Â ¾ø´Ù°í º¼ÅÏ º¸Á°üÀº °Á¶Çß´Ù.He added: ¡°So based on what we know, at least publicly, we considered it all to be bluff.±×´Â À̾î "±×·¡¼ ¿ì¸®°¡ ¾Ë°í ÀÖ´Â °Í¿¡ ±Ù°ÅÇØ Àû¾îµµ °ø°³ÀûÀ¸·Î ¿ì¸®´Â ÀÌ ¸ðµç °ÍÀ» Çã¼¼¶ó°í »ý°¢Çß´Ù.¡°Now, is there any seriousness in there beyond the effort to intimidate the Biden and others? I think if we were in a situation which we¡¯re not at the moment where Russian troops were in wholesale retreat back into the international Ukrainian/Russian border, I think then Putin would be in a much more difficult situation militarily and a much more difficult situation in domestic Russian political terms.¡°ÀÚ, °Å±â¿¡ ¹ÙÀÌµç µîÀ» À§ÇùÇÏ·Á´Â ³ë·Â ¿Ü¿¡ ÁøÁöÇÔÀÌ ÀÖ½À´Ï±î? ¸¸¾à ¿ì¸®°¡ ·¯½Ã¾Æ±ºÀÌ ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª / ·¯½Ã¾Æ ±¹°æÀ¸·Î Àü¸éÀûÀ¸·Î ÈÄÅðÇÏ´Â ¼ø°£ÀÌ ¾Æ´Ñ »óȲ¿¡ ÀÖ¾ú´Ù¸é ǪƾÀº ±º»çÀûÀ¸·Î ÈξÀ ´õ ¾î·Á¿î »óȲ¿¡ óÇßÀ» °ÍÀÌ°í ÈξÀ ´õ ¾î·Á¿î »óȲ¿¡ óÇßÀ» °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ¡°And at that point, in extremis, extreme measures like use of a nuclear weapon might seem to him more likely.±×¸®°í ±× ½ÃÁ¡¿¡¼, ±Ø´ÜÀûÀ¸·Î, ÇÙ¹«±â »ç¿ë°ú °°Àº ±Ø´ÜÀû ÀÎ Á¶Ä¡°¡ ±×¿¡°Ô ´õ °¡´É¼ºÀÌÀÖ´Â °Íó·³ º¸ÀÏ ¼ö ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.¡°I don't think we're there yet. I think given recent Ukrainian military successes, we're closer to it, I don't think you can buck reality on this, but I don't think we're at that point. So right now, the threats are still bluffs.¡±¾ÆÁ÷ µµÂøÇÏÁö ¾ÊÀº °Í °°¾Æ. ³ª´Â ÃÖ±Ù ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ªÀÇ ±º»çÀû ¼º°øÀ» °í·ÁÇÒ ¶§, ¿ì¸®´Â ±×°Í¿¡ ´õ °¡±õ´Ù°í »ý°¢ÇÑ´Ù. ³ª´Â ´ç½ÅÀÌ ÀÌ°Í¿¡ ´ëÇØ Çö½ÇÀ» ±Øº¹ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í »ý°¢ÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù. ±×·¯³ª ³ª´Â ¿ì¸®°¡ ±× ½ÃÁ¡¿¡ ÀÖ´Ù°í »ý°¢ÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù.±×·¡¼ Áö±ÝÀº Çù¹ÚÀÌ ÇãdzÀÌ´Ù."[express] https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1684594/vladimir-putin-news-russia-ukraine-war-update-nuclear-weapons-joe-biden-john-bolton
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