Russia financial meltdown: Putin faces 'economic crisis like no other' as exports PLUMMET
·¯½Ã¾Æ ±ÝÀ¶ ºØ±« : ǪƾÀº ¼öÃâÀÌ ±Þ°¨ÇÏ¸é¼ 'À¯·Ê¾ø´Â °æÁ¦ À§±â'¿¡ Á÷¸éRUSSIA'S ECONOMY is facing its biggest economic decline since the 1990s as the war enters its sixth month, according to a political analyst.Á¤Ä¡ ºÐ¼®°¡¿¡ µû¸£¸é, ·¯½Ã¾ÆÀÇ °æÁ¦´Â ÀüÀïÀÌ 6°³¿ù° Á¢¾îµé¸é¼ 1990³â´ë ÀÌÈÄ °¡Àå Å« °æÁ¦ ¼âÅð¿¡ Á÷¸éÇØ ÀÖ´Ù.[express] 2022³â 8¿ù 30ÀÏ È 15:08
Anton Barbashin, the Editorial Director of Riddle Russia - an online journal of Russian affairs - said the country will experience a worse financial situation than during the great depression.·¯½Ã¾Æ ¹®Á¦ÀÇ ¿Â¶óÀÎ Àú³ÎÀÎ ¼ö¼ö²²³¢ ·¯½Ã¾ÆÀÇ ÆíÁýÀåÀÎ ¾ÈÅæ ¹Ù¹Ù½ÅÀº ·¯½Ã¾Æ°¡ ´ë°øȲ ¶§º¸ ´Ù ´õ ³ª»Û ÀçÁ¤Àû »óȲÀ» °æÇèÇÒ °ÍÀ̶ó°í Çß´Ù.He warned the eight percent decline in 2008-09 won't even be a match for the fall it is facing this year.±×´Â 2008-09³âÀÇ 8% Ç϶ôÀº ¿ÃÇØ Á÷¸éÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â °¡À»°ú´Â ºñ±³µµ µÇÁö ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀ̶ó°í Çß´Ù.This "economic crisis" is "not like the other", Mr Barbashin said.ÀÌ "°æÁ¦ À§±â"´Â "´Ù¸¥ °Í°ú °°Áö ¾Ê´Ù"°í ¹Ù¸£¹Ù½Å¾¾´Â ¸»Çß´Ù.The war in Ukraine and sanctions imposed by Western nations led to a decline in imports.¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª ÀüÀï°ú ¼¹æ ±¹°¡µéÀÇ Á¦Àç·Î ¼öÀÔÀÌ °¨¼ÒÇß´Ù.He predicts imports will shrink by "about a quarter" by the end of the year.±×´Â ¿ÃÇØ ¸»±îÁö ¼öÀÔÀÌ "¾à 4ºÐÀÇ 1" ÁÙ¾îµé °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¿¹ÃøÇÑ´Ù.Russian exports are also on the decline as gas exports are expected to reduce by around 36 percent, steel and fertilisers will go down around 30 percent, while coal exports are predicted to decline by 29 percent and wheat by 27 percent.°¡½º ¼öÃâÀº 36%, ö°°ú ºñ·á´Â 30% Á¤µµ °¨¼ÒÇÒ °ÍÀ¸·Î ¿¹»óµÇ°í ¼®Åº ¼öÃâÀº 29%, ¹ÐÀº 27% °¨¼ÒÇÒ °ÍÀ¸·Î ¿¹»óµÅ ·¯½Ã¾Æ ¼öÃâµµ °¨¼Ò¼¼¸¦ º¸ÀÌ°í ÀÖ´Ù.The Office of National Statistics announced imports of goods from Russia decreased to £33million in June 2022 and are at the lowest level since records began in January 1997.±¹°¡ Åë°è±¹Àº ·¯½Ã¾Æ·ÎºÎÅÍÀÇ »óÇ° ¼öÀÔÀÌ 2022³â 6¿ù¿¡ 3õ 3¹é¸¸ À¯·Î·Î °¨¼ÒÇßÀ¸¸ç 1997³â 1¿ù ±â·ÏÀÌ ½ÃÀÛµÈ ÀÌ·¡ ÃÖÀú ¼öÁØÀ̶ó°í ¹ßÇ¥Çß´Ù.In the same month, there were no imports of fuels from Russia for the first time since records began.°°Àº ´Þ ±â·ÏÀÌ ½ÃÀÛµÈ ÀÌ·¡ óÀ½À¸·Î ·¯½Ã¾Æ·ÎºÎÅÍ ¿¬·á ¼öÀÔÀÌ ¾ø¾ú´Ù.Exports had also dropped by £168million (66.9 percent) compared with the monthly average for the 12 months to February 2022.¼öÃâµµ 2022³â 2¿ù±îÁö 12°³¿ù µ¿¾È ¿ùÆò±Õ¿¡ ºñÇØ 2,652¾ï2,496¸¸¿ø(1¾ï6800¸¸ÆÄ¿îµå) 66.9% °¨¼ÒÇß´Ù.But Mr Barbashin revealed oil exports are so far on the rise as the EU's partial oil embargo on Russian crude oil will not be brought into effect until December 5.±×·¯³ª ¹Ù¸£¹Ù½Å ÃѸ®´Â ·¯½Ã¾Æ ¿øÀ¯¿¡ ´ëÇÑ EUÀÇ ºÎºÐÀûÀÎ ¼®À¯ ±Ý¼ö Á¶Ä¡°¡ 12¿ù 5ÀϱîÁö ¹ßÈ¿µÇÁö ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀ̱⠶§¹®¿¡ ¼®À¯ ¼öÃâÀÌ Áö±Ý±îÁö Áõ°¡ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù°í ¹àÇû´Ù.Therefore, EU countries are currently stocking up on Russian oil before the embargo is introduced.µû¶ó¼ EU ±¹°¡µéÀº ÇöÀç ±Ý¼öÁ¶Ä¡°¡ µµÀԵDZâ Àü¿¡ ·¯½Ã¾Æ»ê ¼®À¯¸¦ ºñÃàÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù.As a result, oil exports from Russia to Europe have recently reached new highs, at 3.41 million barrels per day, and the discount at which it was traded has almost halved.ÀÌ¿¡ µû¶ó ·¯½Ã¾Æ¿¡¼ À¯·´À¸·ÎÀÇ ¿øÀ¯ ¼öÃâ·®Àº ÃÖ±Ù ÇÏ·ç 341¸¸ ¹è·²·Î »ç»ó ÃÖ°íÄ¡¸¦ °æ½ÅÇß°í, °Å·¡µÇ´ø ÇÒÀÎÆøµµ Àý¹Ý °¡±îÀÌ ¶³¾îÁ³´Ù.Writing on Twitter, the political analyst said: "Nevertheless, it does not protect Russian budget from going deficit already in July. Even with oil prices this high ($100 and above). A trend that will keep on going indefinitely".ÀÌ Á¤Ä¡ ºÐ¼®°¡´Â Æ®À§Å͸¦ ÅëÇØ "±×·³¿¡µµ ºÒ±¸ÇÏ°í, ÀÌ¹Ì 7¿ùÀÇ ÀûÀÚ¸¦ ·¯½Ã¾Æ´Â º¸È£ÇÏÁö ¸øÇÑ´Ù. À¯°¡°¡ ÀÌ·¸°Ô ³ô´õ¶óµµ(100´Þ·¯ ÀÌ»ó). ¹«±âÇÑ °è¼ÓµÉ Ãß¼¼´Ù.Russian economist Vladislav Inozemtsev said 2022 has, so far, undoubtedly been "quite unique for the Russian economy".·¯½Ã¾Æ °æÁ¦ÇÐÀÚ ºí¶óµð½½¶óÇÁ À̳ëÁª¼¼ÇÁ´Â 2022³âÀº ÀǽÉÇÒ ¿©Áö ¾øÀÌ "·¯½Ã¾Æ °æÁ¦¿¡ ¸Å¿ì µ¶Æ¯ÇÑ" Çضó°í Çß´Ù.Writing for Riddle Russia, he said: "In terms of the depth of the economic downturn, it is certainly going to ¡®outdo¡¯ the crisis year of 2009, when the Russian Federation¡¯s GDP shrank by 7.9 percent.¼ö¼ö²²³¢ ·¯½Ã¾Æ¸¦ À§ÇØ ±ÛÀ» ¾²¸é¼ ±×´Â ´ÙÀ½°ú °°ÀÌ ¸»Çß´Ù : "°æ±â ħüÀÇ ±íÀÌ Ãø¸é¿¡¼ º¼ ¶§, ·¯½Ã¾Æ ¿¬¹æÀÇ GDP°¡ 7.9 % °¨¼ÒÇÑ 2009³âÀÇ À§±âº¸´Ù ºÐ¸íÈ÷ '´É°¡'ÇÒ °ÍÀÔ´Ï´Ù."When it comes to de‑globalisation, it will surpass all parameters of 2014−2015, when Russia was first subjected to Western sanctions following the occupation of Crimea and efforts to provoke separatism in the eastern regions of Ukraine"."Å»¼¼°èÈ¿¡ °üÇؼ´Â ·¯½Ã¾Æ°¡ Å©¸®¹Ì¾Æ Á¡·É°ú ¿ìÅ©¶óÀ̳ª µ¿ºÎ Áö¿ªÀÇ ºÐ¸®ÁÖÀǸ¦ ÀÚ±ØÇÏ·Á´Â ³ë·Â¿¡ µû¶ó ¼¹æ Á¦À縦 óÀ½ ¹Þ¾Ò´ø 2014 ~ 2015 ³âÀÇ ¸ðµç ¸Å°³ º¯¼ö¸¦ ´É°¡ÇÒ °ÍÀÔ´Ï´Ù."He said the significant decline in imports in the first and second half of the year is not expected to recover in the near future.±×´Â »ó¹Ý±â¿Í ÇϹݱ⿡ ¼öÀÔÀÌ Å©°Ô °¨¼ÒÇß´Ù´Â °ÍÀº Á¶¸¸°£ ȸº¹µÉ °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸ÀÌÁö ¾Ê´Â´Ù°í Çß´Ù.Mr Inozemtsev said an "unexpected factor" was the situation in export deliveries, which have all - except for oil shipments - been declining significantly in volume between January and July.À̳ëÁª¼¼ÇÁ¾¾´Â "¿¹»óÄ¡ ¸øÇÑ ¿äÀÎ"Àº 1¿ù°ú 7¿ù »çÀÌ¿¡ ¼®À¯ ¼±ÀûÀ» Á¦¿ÜÇÏ°í ¸ðµç °ÍÀÌ Å©°Ô °¨¼ÒÇÑ ¼öÃâ »óȲÀ̶ó°í Çß´Ù.[express] https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1662302/russian-economy-economic-crisis-vladimir-putin-exports-decline-ukraine-war-update
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